Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.021352 0.022988 0.024691 0.026596 0.028669 0.030860 0.033352
2025-12-21 0.018682 0.021041 0.023623 0.026665 0.030160 0.034060 0.038753
2025-12-28 0.016800 0.019556 0.022689 0.026524 0.031114 0.036452 0.043163
2026-01-04 0.015460 0.018482 0.022020 0.026492 0.032025 0.038685 0.047369
2026-01-11 0.014459 0.017681 0.021554 0.026583 0.032988 0.040935 0.051636
2026-01-18 0.013600 0.016965 0.021103 0.026608 0.033803 0.042974 0.055689
2026-01-25 0.012926 0.016419 0.020804 0.026766 0.034747 0.045178 0.060040
2026-02-01 0.012163 0.015700 0.020222 0.026493 0.035069 0.046535 0.063279
2026-02-08 0.011423 0.014961 0.019560 0.026055 0.035113 0.047478 0.065954
2026-02-15 0.010851 0.014409 0.019110 0.025862 0.035458 0.048824 0.069243
2026-02-22 0.010304 0.013858 0.018624 0.025581 0.035643 0.049926 0.072211
2026-03-01 0.009852 0.013413 0.018257 0.025437 0.035999 0.051272 0.075591
2026-03-08 0.009377 0.012930 0.017833 0.025217 0.036276 0.052577 0.079099
2026-03-15 0.009022 0.012599 0.017609 0.025280 0.036976 0.054558 0.083804
2026-03-22 0.008636 0.012204 0.017271 0.025147 0.037362 0.056067 0.087843
2026-03-29 0.008310 0.011878 0.017015 0.025117 0.037892 0.057815 0.092366
2026-04-05 0.008040 0.011621 0.016844 0.025202 0.038598 0.059866 0.097514
2026-04-12 0.007772 0.011354 0.016644 0.025226 0.039197 0.061766 0.102517
2026-04-19 0.007555 0.011152 0.016530 0.025375 0.039999 0.064033 0.108299
2026-04-26 0.007252 0.010805 0.016176 0.025118 0.040111 0.065135 0.112065
2026-05-03 0.006931 0.010418 0.015740 0.024705 0.039934 0.065725 0.114922
2026-05-10 0.006683 0.010133 0.015455 0.024523 0.040134 0.066971 0.119063
2026-05-17 0.006431 0.009832 0.015130 0.024259 0.040173 0.067925 0.122703